Simon Black: The global food supply chain wasn’t designed for this


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Opportunities are high that whatever you ate for breakfast today probably came from some away location …

by Simon Black of Sovereign Man

In the early 1980 s, medical professionals and medical researchers around the globe were puzzled by the growing variety of young, otherwise healthy patients who were dying of uncommon infections that normally only occurred in people with extremely weak immune systems.

The scenario was so alarming that the CDC in the United States set up an unique job force in 1982 to study the condition and stop its spread.

By 1983 the medical neighborhood had found the answer: they discovered a terrifying new retrovirus that utterly and permanently beat the human body immune system.

This retrovirus eventually ended up being called the Human Immunodeficiency Infection– HIV. And nearly four decades later, while there has been substantial progress in treatment and avoidance, there is still no vaccine.

Then there’s shingles– an infection brought on by the varicella-zoster virus– which is brutally unpleasant for older grownups.

GlaxoSmithKline produces a vaccine for this virus called Shingrix that took them more than 10 years to establish and test. And the company has stated consistently that they are overwhelmed with need: numerous millions of individuals desire the vaccine.

A few months back, Glaxo announced that they already reached maximum production capacity of the vaccine, and they’ll have to build a new bioreactor center just to increase production to ~20 million systems per year.

That brand-new facility will not be online up until 2024.

Undoubtedly the unique Coronavirus is various. Its biology is different, the circumstances are different.

However there does appear to be a prevailing mindset worldwide that there will be a vaccine ‘within 12-18 months.’

We can certainly hope so. Fingers crossed.

However this “12-18 month” quote has been duplicated so many times by politicians, reporters, and so on that the general public now views it as an inevitable conclusion.

And there appears to be zero consideration given to the possibility that, perhaps just possibly, vaccine advancement could take a lot longer.

Or possibly, even if a vaccine is rapidly developed, that it would take a minimum of 5 years to produce, transport, and administer BILLIONS of vaccines.

Think about it– Glaxo will invest the next 4 years constructing a brand-new center simply to be able to produce 10-20 million annual units of its Shingles vaccine.

How many biotech facilities worldwide will be required to produce billions of coronavirus vaccines?

And even if existing production centers are able to quickly switch from producing other drugs and begin producing coronavirus vaccines– what will be the opportunity cost?

If the world manages to be able to produce billions of vaccines, who will be left to produce cancer drugs?

I’m not writing all of this to be unfavorable. Far from it. And it’s important to remember that absolutely every scenario is on the table right now, consisting of favorable and beneficial ones.

But there are clearly a variety of reasons that this pandemic could last much longer than the majority of people probably think. So it’s sensible to be physically, psychologically, and financially prepared for that reality.

If this virus has actually taught us anything, it’s that tomorrow can be drastically various than today.

This goes against some of our many standard human propensities, what psychologists call ‘cognitive bias’.

The bottom line is that our brains cling to the concept that tomorrow is going to be just like today. And we have an extremely hard time accepting fast change.

And even when radical changes do happen and we ultimately end up being familiar with our new truths, we still hold on to the belief that things can’t get any even worse.

They can. Again, anything is possible now. All situations are on the table. So it would threaten to assume that it can’t get any even worse, or that the pandemic won’t drag out for a longer period of time.

Back in early February before the infection ended up being a global issue, I suggested that you stockpile on food and masks prior to it all hit the fan.

I want to recommend the very same thing once again today– at least the food part.

It is entirely possible that we might see supply chain interruptions.

Chances are high that whatever you consumed for breakfast today probably originated in some away location.

The food on your plate can quickly travel hundreds if not thousands of miles before it arrives to your table, starting in a farmer’s field, to an inspection center, and then to the port where it is shipped/trucked/railed/ flown to a regional warehouse and ultimately to your supermarket.

The international food supply chain is incredibly intricate and not specifically durable; I have actually seen this firsthand over the previous few years from running a large farming company.

I don’t believe it’s likely that the global supply chain would shut down entirely. However there’s certainly a danger for missteps, i.e. downturns that cause delays and sporadic scarcities.

This sort of deficiency could develop some high tension circumstances in the grocery store; just have a look at Black Friday videos on YouTube to get a sense of what I’m discussing.

It’s best to prevent that type of environment completely. So I ‘d absolutely encourage you to stockpile on food, and remain stockpiled.

This isn’t about being paranoid. We can expect the very best, but still acknowledge this pandemic could last a lot longer, and understand that the supply chain wasn’t developed to operate under such tension.

Nothing is specific. But stocking up on food is a simple safety measure to offset some apparent threats … which is the cornerstone of any good Plan B.

And to continue finding out how to guarantee you grow no matter what takes place next in the world, I motivate you to download our complimentary Perfect Plan B Guide

Because … If you live, work, bank, invest, own a service, and hold your assets all in simply one country, you are putting all of your eggs in one basket.

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